Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.970827 2.244855 2.542612 2.890118 3.284520 3.718222 4.231335
2025-10-12 1.539982 1.912591 2.352716 2.910702 3.599213 4.421045 5.476903
2025-10-19 1.337390 1.763121 2.295763 3.010640 3.944903 5.124601 6.728312
2025-10-26 1.151751 1.595003 2.176480 2.994397 4.115040 5.596977 7.707169
2025-11-02 1.013252 1.464637 2.081702 2.985821 4.276444 6.052923 8.686268
2025-11-09 0.887979 1.334021 1.966807 2.928587 4.353035 6.385450 9.508722
2025-11-16 0.810202 1.260772 1.921954 2.961055 4.552517 6.898692 10.624249
2025-11-23 0.745625 1.198796 1.884968 2.997278 4.754622 7.424917 11.795673
2025-11-30 0.679174 1.126000 1.822785 2.985654 4.877230 7.834196 12.813702
2025-12-07 0.612975 1.046253 1.741020 2.932920 4.925948 8.126198 13.662117
2025-12-14 0.553132 0.970630 1.658099 2.868806 4.947072 8.370301 14.444933
2025-12-21 0.503758 0.907679 1.589850 2.821642 4.989620 8.648335 15.300481
2025-12-28 0.494269 0.916836 1.650619 3.012479 5.476004 9.745564 17.717738
2026-01-04 0.457055 0.873216 1.616576 3.035206 5.673823 10.371858 19.384006
2026-01-11 0.435846 0.856323 1.627751 3.139309 6.025742 11.297725 21.672055
2026-01-18 0.400598 0.808771 1.577339 3.122383 6.149090 11.815686 23.245675
2026-01-25 0.370198 0.767256 1.533849 3.113444 6.284871 12.365361 24.925360
2026-02-01 0.337227 0.716978 1.468226 3.053792 6.314155 12.711189 26.233519
2026-02-08 0.317625 0.692035 1.450209 3.087631 6.532562 13.442844 28.376366
2026-02-15 0.300140 0.669658 1.435061 3.125385 6.761363 14.212749 30.663785
2026-02-22 0.279521 0.638324 1.398179 3.113270 6.883374 14.772989 32.559292
2026-03-01 0.257067 0.600580 1.344018 3.058308 6.907487 15.129185 34.046857
2026-03-08 0.235752 0.563201 1.287072 2.991483 6.898662 15.412743 35.397950